Invasion of infectious diseases in finite homogeneous populations.
نویسنده
چکیده
We consider the initial invasion of an infectious disease in a finite, homogeneous population. Methodology for evaluating the basic reproduction number, R(0), and the probability mass function of secondary infections is presented. The impact of finite population size, and infectious period distribution (between exponential, two-phase gamma, and constant), is assessed. Implications for infectious disease invasion and estimation of infectious disease model and parameters from data of secondary infections by initially infected individuals in naive, finite, homogeneous populations are reported. As any individual interacts with a finite number of contacts during their infectious period, these results are important to the study of infectious disease dynamics.
منابع مشابه
Invasion and Persistence of Infectious Agents in Fragmented Host Populations
One of the important questions in understanding infectious diseases and their prevention and control is how infectious agents can invade and become endemic in a host population. A ubiquitous feature of natural populations is that they are spatially fragmented, resulting in relatively homogeneous local populations inhabiting patches connected by the migration of hosts. Such fragmented population...
متن کاملUpsurge of Rodents’ Population in a Rural Area of Northeastern Iran Raised Concerns about Rodent-borne Diseases
Introduction: Rodents are the primary source of several zoonotic infectious diseases. The upsurge of rodents’ population in Najaf Abad Village of Nishapur County, northeastern Iran in February 2014 raised the concerns about the outbreak of diseases such as plague and tularemia. This report discusses the lessons learned from the outburst of rodents’ population in that village and rep...
متن کاملThe frequency of CCR5 promoter polymorphisms and CCR5 32 mutation in Iranian populations
Evidence showed that chemokines serve as pro-migratory factors for immune cells. CCL3, CCL4 and CCL5, as the main CC chemokines subfamily members, activate immune cells through binding to CC chemokine receptor 5 or CCR5. Macrophages, NK cells and T lymphocytes express CCR5 and thus, affected CCR5 expression or functions could be associated with altered immune responses. Deletion of 32 base pai...
متن کاملAn Exact Relationship Between Invasion Probability and Endemic Prevalence for Markovian SIS Dynamics on Networks
Understanding models which represent the invasion of network-based systems by infectious agents can give important insights into many real-world situations, including the prevention and control of infectious diseases and computer viruses. Here we consider Markovian susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) dynamics on finite strongly connected networks, applicable to several sexually transmitted...
متن کاملDetermination of Frequency of Positive Blood Culture Samples and Antibiotic Resistance Pattern of Isolated Bacteria from Patients Suspected of Infectious Diseases Admitted to Imam Khomeini Hospital in Ahvaz in 2013-2016
Introduction: The invasion of microorganisms into the bloodstream and spread to different parts of body can cause disruption the functions of vital organs and even death. This study aimed to evaluation of positive blood cultures in patients suspected to septicemia admitted to the Imam Khomeini Hospital in 2013-2016. Materials and Methods: In this study, blood samples of patients were cultured ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
- Journal of theoretical biology
دوره 289 شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2011